GATE CS 2021 Set 1 — Question 64
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Engineering Mathematics → Probability & Statistics → Bayes' Theorem
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Question
A sender (S) transmits a signal, which can be one of the two kinds: and with probabilities 0.1 and 0.9 respectively, to a receiver (R).
In the graph below, the weight of edge is the probability of receiving when is transmitted, where . For example, the probability that the received signal is given the transmitted signal was , is 0.7.
If the received signal is , the probability that the transmitted signal was (rounded to 2 decimal places) is ___________.
In the graph below, the weight of edge is the probability of receiving when is transmitted, where . For example, the probability that the received signal is given the transmitted signal was , is 0.7.

Correct answer
0.04 to 0.04
Solution
Let denote the transmitted signal and denote the received signal.
Given probabilities:
From the graph/text:
We need to find using Bayes' theorem:First, calculate the total probability of receiving , :Now, calculate the conditional probability:The probability is .
Given probabilities:
From the graph/text:
We need to find using Bayes' theorem:First, calculate the total probability of receiving , :Now, calculate the conditional probability:The probability is .
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